filter_step,description,pool_size_estimate,reduction_factor,order_of_magnitude,source,notes
0,All males born in Roman-era Palestine 100 BC to 100 AD,4000000,1.0,1e6,Broshi 1979,Population baseline
1,Plausible Davidic lineage claim,300000,0.075,1e5,Bauckham 1990,Order-of-magnitude estimate
2,Born in Bethlehem Ephrathah,1200,0.004,1e3,Avi-Yonah 1966,Regional settlement population
3,Publicly known ministry attested in independent sources,30,0.025,1e1,Horsley & Hanson 1985,Known 1st-century religious figures
4,Executed specifically by Roman crucifixion,10,0.333,1e1,Hengel 1977,Subset of messianic-claimant executions
5,Betrayed for specific recorded monetary sum with recorded disposal,1,0.1,1e0,Gospel specificity comparison,Near-unique across available cases
6,Burial in wealthy tomb despite criminal execution (Isa 53:9),1,1.0,1e0,Unique to Jesus in attested cases,
7,Movement survived execution and grew exponentially,1,1.0,1e0,Stark 1996,See movement_trajectories